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Lorenzo Musetti vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Musetti vs Shapovalov analysis and find out who is favored!
Lorenzo Musetti vs Denis Shapovalov Important H2H Prediction Stats:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Musetti has won 49.68% of points on his second serve, while Shapovalov has won 45.5%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Musetti, in recent form, has won 50.5% of his opponent's second serve points, while Shapovalov has won 47.04%. The same stats for first serve returns are 28.81% and 29.81% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Musetti has saved 55.08% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Shapovalov has saved 65% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Musetti has won 49.23% of matches played (W/L 32/ 33), with Shapovalov winning 46.67% (W/L 14/ 16) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Musetti has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 63% (W/L 109/ 63), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 46% (W/L 6/ 7). Shapovalov has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 62% (W/L 74/ 45), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 21/ 21).
- Player level: In the last year, Musetti has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 46.67% of matches (W/L 14/ 16), where as Shapovalov has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 30.77% of matches (W/L 4/ 9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Musetti winning 1 times. They have played 3 sets in total, with Musetti winning 2 and Shapovalov winning 1. The last match between Musetti and Shapovalov was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 09-03-2024, Second, Hard with Lorenzo Musetti getting the victory 6-4 2-6 7-5.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:20:12.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Musetti and Shapovalov have played a deciding set 1 times, with Musetti winning 1 times and Shapovalov 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Musetti winning 0, and Shapovalov 0.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Musetti has played against opponents with an average rank of 171.57 while Shapovalov has played against players with an average rank of 124.1.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Musetti has won 59% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Shapovalov has won 33% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Musetti has converted 37.1% of breakpoint opportunities, and Shapovalov has converted 34.31% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Head-to-head: Musetti 1 - 0 Shapovalov
29
Rank
15
High
22
Age
R
Plays
1
Total0
1
Hard0
0
Clay0
0
Indoor0
0
Grass0
126
Rank
10
High
25
Age
L
Plays
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
Form
L
W
W
L
L
L
W
W
L
L
57% (187-143)
Career Total W/L
59% (285-195)
44% (12-15)
YTD W/L
40% (8-12)
$2,761,880
Career Prize Money
$7,864,410
0
YTD Titles
0
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
Musetti VS Shapovalov H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| stats | Lorenzo Musetti | Denis Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 1 | 0 |
| Sets Won | 2 | 1 |
| Games Won | 15 | 15 |
| Aces (Total) | 2 | 9 |
| DFs (Total) | 3 | 12 |
| Avg Match Time | 2:20:12 | 2:20:12 |
| 1st Serve % | 61% (58/95) | 57% (55/97) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 64% (37/58) | 76% (42/55) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 57% (21/37) | 40% (17/42) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 31% (4/13) | 36% (4/11) |
| Return Points W% | 39% (38/97) | 39% (37/95) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (1/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st set L, W | 0% (0/0) | 0% (1/0) |
Musetti VS Shapovalov H2h Matches played
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 2-6 7-5 |
Stats 
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Denis Shapovalov
61%
(
58 of
95)
1st Serve %
57%
(
55 of
97)
2
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
12
64%
(
37 of
58)
1st Serve Won
76%
(
42 of
55)
57%
(
21 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
17 of
42)
31%
(
4 of
13)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
39%
(
37 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
38 of
97)
96
Total Points Won
96
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Lorenzo Musetti | Denis Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 44% (12/15) | 40% (8/12) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 46% (29/34) | 44% (21/27) |
| Games Win/Loss | 48% (302/322) | 50% (244/240) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 46% (6/7) | 38% (3/5) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 45% (5/6) | 33% (2/4) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 33% (1/2) | 50% (3/3) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.21 | 0.76 |
| Aces Total | 64 | 183 |
| DFs per game | 0.12 | 0.55 |
| DFs Total | 38 | 131 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:55:32 | 1:49:57 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 212.37 | 130.25 |
| 1st Serve % | 62% (1228/1965) | 58% (886/1530) |
| 1st Serve W% | 69% (845/1228) | 77% (680/886) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 50% (371/737) | 45% (293/644) |
| BPs Won% Total | 37% (68/183) | 34% (47/137) |
| Return Pts W% | 37% (755/2018) | 36% (574/1584) |
| Slam W/L | 50% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Masters W/L | 50% (5/5) | 56% (5/4) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Main Tour W/L | 27% (3/8) | 30% (3/7) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 75% (3/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 44% (11/25) | 42% (8/19) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 50% (1/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 54% (7/13) | 22% (2/9) |
| Deciding Set W% | 40% (2/5) | 29% (2/7) |
| 1st set W, W | 92% (12/11) | 73% (11/8) |
| 1st set W, L | 8% (12/1) | 27% (11/3) |
| 1st set L, W | 7% (15/1) | 0% (9/0) |
Lorenzo Musetti Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R2 |
Stats
Terence Atmane
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
55%
(
23 of
42)
1st Serve %
73%
(
29 of
40)
2
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
0
91%
(
21 of
23)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
20 of
29)
47%
(
9 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
100%
(
1 of
1)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
29%
(
12 of
42)
Rtn Points Won
40%
(
16 of
40)
46
Total Points Won
36
|
7-5 1-0 ret. | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Mariano Navone
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
80%
(
48 of
60)
1st Serve %
68%
(
45 of
66)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
2
65%
(
31 of
48)
1st Serve Won
47%
(
21 of
45)
42%
(
5 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
9 of
21)
46%
(
6 of
13)
Break Points Won
25%
(
2 of
8)
40%
(
24 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
55%
(
36 of
66)
72
Total Points Won
54
|
7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Daniel Elahi Galan
67%
(
34 of
51)
1st Serve %
46%
(
24 of
52)
0
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
0
74%
(
25 of
34)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
12 of
24)
47%
(
8 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
12 of
28)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
35%
(
18 of
51)
Rtn Points Won
54%
(
28 of
52)
61
Total Points Won
42
|
6-1 6-4 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Nuno Borges
57%
(
50 of
87)
1st Serve %
70%
(
57 of
81)
1
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
3
66%
(
33 of
50)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
32 of
57)
43%
(
16 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
8 of
24)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
31%
(
4 of
13)
44%
(
38 of
87)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
41 of
81)
90
Total Points Won
78
|
1-6 6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
59%
(
48 of
82)
1st Serve %
67%
(
56 of
84)
0
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
3
69%
(
33 of
48)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
34 of
56)
59%
(
20 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
14 of
28)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
4 of
8)
35%
(
29 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
43%
(
36 of
84)
89
Total Points Won
77
|
7-6(4) 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
57%
(
37 of
65)
1st Serve %
65%
(
37 of
57)
4
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
84%
(
31 of
37)
1st Serve Won
78%
(
29 of
37)
57%
(
16 of
28)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
40%
(
2 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
4)
28%
(
18 of
65)
Rtn Points Won
32%
(
18 of
57)
65
Total Points Won
57
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Roberto Carballes Baena
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
75%
(
60 of
80)
1st Serve %
66%
(
57 of
87)
2
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
2
73%
(
44 of
60)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
38 of
57)
50%
(
10 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
16 of
30)
15%
(
2 of
13)
Break Points Won
20%
(
1 of
5)
33%
(
26 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
33 of
87)
87
Total Points Won
80
|
7-6(4) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Novak Djokovic
Player
Lorenzo Musetti
69%
(
46 of
67)
1st Serve %
53%
(
33 of
62)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
67%
(
31 of
46)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
20 of
33)
52%
(
11 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
12 of
29)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
37%
(
25 of
67)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
30 of
62)
72
Total Points Won
57
|
7-5 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Arthur Fils
50%
(
31 of
62)
1st Serve %
63%
(
39 of
62)
2
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
68%
(
21 of
31)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
21 of
39)
58%
(
18 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
57%
(
13 of
23)
50%
(
4 of
8)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
37%
(
23 of
62)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
28 of
62)
67
Total Points Won
57
|
6-3 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Taylor Fritz
56%
(
31 of
55)
1st Serve %
44%
(
24 of
55)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
81%
(
25 of
31)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
17 of
24)
42%
(
10 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
36%
(
20 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
44%
(
24 of
55)
59
Total Points Won
51
|
6-4 6-4 | H2H | ||
view more
Denis Shapovalov Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
Stats
Luciano Darderi
Player
Denis Shapovalov
54%
(
67 of
123)
1st Serve %
55%
(
66 of
119)
3
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
14
64%
(
43 of
67)
1st Serve Won
70%
(
46 of
66)
50%
(
28 of
56)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
19 of
53)
55%
(
6 of
11)
Break Points Won
33%
(
4 of
12)
42%
(
52 of
123)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
54 of
119)
125
Total Points Won
117
|
6-7(4) 6-3 7-6(4) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Alexander Zverev
Player
Denis Shapovalov
78%
(
47 of
60)
1st Serve %
64%
(
55 of
86)
10
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
5
79%
(
37 of
47)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
37 of
55)
54%
(
7 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
32%
(
10 of
31)
21%
(
3 of
14)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
27%
(
16 of
60)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
39 of
86)
83
Total Points Won
63
|
6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
58%
(
52 of
90)
1st Serve %
72%
(
51 of
71)
8
Aces
1
12
Double Faults
3
77%
(
40 of
52)
1st Serve Won
63%
(
32 of
51)
42%
(
16 of
38)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
10 of
20)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
38%
(
34 of
90)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
29 of
71)
85
Total Points Won
76
|
7-6(3) 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Facundo Diaz Acosta
56%
(
45 of
80)
1st Serve %
69%
(
52 of
75)
7
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
0
80%
(
36 of
45)
1st Serve Won
69%
(
36 of
52)
51%
(
18 of
35)
2nd Serve Won
57%
(
13 of
23)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
29%
(
2 of
7)
33%
(
26 of
80)
Rtn Points Won
35%
(
26 of
75)
80
Total Points Won
75
|
6-4 3-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Corentin Moutet
Player
Denis Shapovalov
67%
(
30 of
45)
1st Serve %
49%
(
31 of
63)
0
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
6
80%
(
24 of
30)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
21 of
31)
60%
(
9 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
31%
(
10 of
32)
36%
(
4 of
11)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
27%
(
12 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
32 of
63)
65
Total Points Won
43
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Marcos Giron
Player
Denis Shapovalov
64%
(
36 of
56)
1st Serve %
50%
(
28 of
56)
3
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
8
78%
(
28 of
36)
1st Serve Won
75%
(
21 of
28)
65%
(
13 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
12 of
28)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
1)
27%
(
15 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
23 of
56)
64
Total Points Won
48
|
6-2 7-5 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Matteo Arnaldi
Player
Denis Shapovalov
60%
(
44 of
73)
1st Serve %
59%
(
35 of
59)
5
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
73%
(
32 of
44)
1st Serve Won
80%
(
28 of
35)
62%
(
18 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
12 of
24)
100%
(
2 of
2)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
32%
(
23 of
73)
Rtn Points Won
32%
(
19 of
59)
69
Total Points Won
63
|
6-3 7-6(7) | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
60%
(
28 of
47)
1st Serve %
65%
(
64 of
99)
3
Aces
8
3
Double Faults
2
89%
(
25 of
28)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
39 of
64)
63%
(
12 of
19)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
15 of
35)
17%
(
3 of
18)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
21%
(
10 of
47)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
45 of
99)
82
Total Points Won
64
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Denis Shapovalov
Player
Luciano Darderi
68%
(
61 of
90)
1st Serve %
58%
(
78 of
135)
16
Aces
5
8
Double Faults
4
77%
(
47 of
61)
1st Serve Won
68%
(
53 of
78)
52%
(
15 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
25 of
57)
33%
(
4 of
12)
Break Points Won
100%
(
1 of
1)
31%
(
28 of
90)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
57 of
135)
119
Total Points Won
106
|
6-3 6-7(3) 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Lorenzo Musetti
Player
Denis Shapovalov
61%
(
58 of
95)
1st Serve %
57%
(
55 of
97)
2
Aces
9
3
Double Faults
12
64%
(
37 of
58)
1st Serve Won
76%
(
42 of
55)
57%
(
21 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
40%
(
17 of
42)
31%
(
4 of
13)
Break Points Won
36%
(
4 of
11)
39%
(
37 of
95)
Rtn Points Won
39%
(
38 of
97)
96
Total Points Won
96
|
6-4 2-6 7-5 | H2H | ||
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Musetti Vs Shapovalov Prediction H2H Images To Share
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Lorenzo Musetti
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